Chapter 6: Investment Returns (Section 3.1.2 from SIE)
Return on Equity Investments:
- Shareholders have the right to participate in corporate earnings through dividend distributions
- Dividends are not guaranteed
- Dividend payments are determined by the corporation’s board of directors
Cash Dividend Dates: Set by corporation (Declared (1) / Record (3) / Payment (4)) / Ex-Dividend Date (2)
- Declaration Date
- Date on which the dividend is announced
- Payment Date
- Date on which the dividend (cash or stock) is distributed
- Record Date
- Date on which a person must own the stock to receive dividend (owner of record)
- For a buyer to receive the dividend, transaction must settle on, or before, record date
- Ex-Dividend Date
- 1 business days before the record date
- Stock begins to sell without its dividend (i.e., at a reduced price or whatever dividend amount is)
- Regular-way settlement is assumed
Cash trades settle the same business day where regular-way transactions settle in T+2
- Due bill is what seller owes buyer if buyer is entitled something and seller is the one who actually received it
- If the seller fails to deliver the securities by the record date (May 12):
- The seller remains the stockholder of record and will receive the dividend
- The buyer is entitled to the dividend if a trade is executed prior to the ex-date (May 11)
- A due bill must accompany the delivery of stock ensuring the dividend as a receivable for the buyer
- It’s pretty much a transfer payment that goes to the buyer so the buyer becomes whole
Scenario: A corporation has declared a cash dividend on June 1, payable on July 25 to stockholders of record on Thursday, July 12. Which is true?
- The stock trades ex-dividend on Wed, July 11
- The seller is entitled to the dividend on a trade executed on Tuesday, July 10
- If securities are not delivered by July 12, a due bill most accompany the delivery
- A cash trade can be done as late as July 25 in order for the buyer to receive the dividend
Stock Dividends:
- The impact of stock dividends
- If a company chooses to pay a dividend to its shareholders in the form of additional of stock, there is:
- No economic gain or loss for holders
- No change to issuer’s capitalization
- No change to holder’s percentage of equity ownership
- If a company chooses to pay a dividend to its shareholders in the form of additional of stock, there is:
- The Tax Treatment of Stock Dividends
- Additional shares received are generally not taxed as income
- Investor’s total basis is unchanged, but basis per share is adjusted
Stock Dividend Example:
- Investor owns 100 shares of XYZ at $60/share. XYZ Company declares a 10% stock dividend
- Before dividend: 100 shares, $60/share = $6,000
- After dividend: 110 shares, $54.54/share = $6,000
Calculating Current Yield for Equities
- Also referred to as dividend yield
- Measures the annual income from dividends compared to the stock’s current market price (not the investor’s original purchase price)
- It is based on the annualized dividend
Example:
- A stock is trading at $40/share and has paid a quarterly dividend of $0.30. The current yield for this stock is
- Annual Dividend / Current Market Price
- (4 * $0.30) / $40
- $1.20 / $40
- = 3%
Return on Bond Investments
- Bond prices are primarily influenced by fluctuations in market interest rates
- There is an inverse relationship between bond prices and market interest rates
- Bond yields and market interest rates move in the same direction
- In order to calculate various returns on bonds, an investor must understand how to determine
- The interest payable each year
- The market price of the bond
Nominal and Current Yield on Bonds:
- Nominal yield (NY):
- Same as coupon, fixed
- Current Yield (CY)
- Uses the annual interest payments
- Based on current market price, NOT owner’s original purchase price
Current Yield Calculations:
- Annual Interest / Current Market Price
| Nominal yield | Bond price | calculation | Current yield |
| 8% | $1,000 | $80/$1,000 | 8% |
| 9% | $1,125 | $90/$1,125 | 8% |
| 6 ½ % | $812.50 | $65/$812.50 | 8% |
Yield-to-Maturity (YTM):
- Also referred to as the Basis or simply the yield of a bond
- Investor’s total overall yield includes
- Semiannual interest payments
- Interest earned from reinvesting the interest (compounding or time value)
- Any gain/loss on the difference between the current value and par value
- Investor’s total overall yield includes
- Both basis and basis points are measurements of yield
- Each basis point is .01%; there are 100 bps in every 1%
- If a bond’s YTM is 4.6%, it is trading at a 4.60 basis
- If another bond is trading at a yield of 4.75%, it is trading 15 basis points higher
- A bond’s nominal yield also referred to as its coupon rate
- To calculate a bond’s current yield, an investor must use its annual interest payment
- To calculate a bond’s current yield, the current market price of the bond is used, not the investor’s purchase price
- A bond’s yield-to-maturity is also referred to as its basis or yield
- 1.20% is 120 basis points
- If interest rates are increasing, bond yields are increasing and bond prices are decreasing
Price v. Yield Relationships:
Price v. Yield Example:
| YTM: 7.75% | 8% |
| Price: 102 | 7.75% |
| Coupon: 8% | 7.65% |
- It’ll be what’s above par value because it’s trading at a Premium
- We use the annual interest / current market price to find current yield
- We know that YTM > CY, so it has to be 6.47%
Yield-to-Call (YTC):
- An investor’s yield if a bond is called at par
- For Callable Bonds, always quote the lower of YTC or YTM (referred to as yield-to-worst)
- When bonds are callable at par and…
- Selling at a discount, use… yield-to-maturity
- Selling at a premium, use…yield-to-call
- When bonds are callable at par and…
Cost Basis and Capital Events
- Cost Basis
- Represents the total amount paid to acquire a security
- Typically includes commissions and other fees paid
- Capital Gains
- The result of the sale or redemption of an asset if the proceeds exceed the basis (Holding period is measured from trade date to trade date)
- Short-term: assets that are held for one year or less
- Taxed at: ordinary rates (usually over 20%)
- Long-term: Assets that are held for greater than one year
- Taxed at: Maximum of 20%
- Short-term: assets that are held for one year or less
- The result of the sale or redemption of an asset if the proceeds exceed the basis (Holding period is measured from trade date to trade date)
- Capital Losses
- The result of the sale of an asset if the proceeds are less than the basis
- As it relates to holding period,short-term and long-term loses are defined the same as capital gains
- A return of capital is when the investor receives some of the original investment back
- Getting one’s own money back
Total Return
- Applies equally to bond and stock investments by including
- All cash flows from interests or dividends
- Plus any appreciation in value
- Or minus any depreciation
- Total Return = ((End Value – Beginning Value of Asset) + Investment Income) / Beginning Value
Example:
- An investor purchased ABC preferred stock two years ago for $25/share. Over this time, she has received $5 in dividends and the stock is currently trading for $30/share. What is the investors’ total return on her investment?
- Total Return = [($30 – $25) + $5] / $25 = 40%
Measuring Other Investment Returns
- Real Return (Inflation-Adjusted)
- Rate of Return – Inflation
- 8% – 1% = 7%
- 3% – 3% = 0%
- You want it to be greater than inflation
- Risk-Adjusted Return
- Rate of Return – Risk-Free Return
- 8% – 2% = 6%
- Risk-Free Return
- Rate of return generally found on a US Treasury bill
Average and Indexes
- Investment returns are often compared benchmark or a group of securities
- Narrow-based indexes focus on market segments/sectors, while broad-based indexes attempt to include the entire market, such as:
- Standard & Poor’s 500 index – comprised mostly of NYSE stocks
- 400 industrial
- 20 transportation
- 40 utility
- 40 financial
- Dow Jones Composite – broken down into 3 averages
- Dow jones industrial – 30 stocks (most widely quoted) GS, DIS, JPM, etc
- Dow jones transportation – 20 stocks
- Dow Jones Utility – 15 stocks
- Standard & Poor’s 500 index – comprised mostly of NYSE stocks
Other Averages and Indexes
- Equity Indexes
- Wilshire Associates Equity Index – Largest index; 5,000 stocks
- Russell 2000 – focuses on small capitalized stocks
- Nasdaq composite Index – based on all Nasdaq listed securities
- Nasdaq 100 – the 100 largest companies listed on Nasdaq
- Bond indexes
- Barclays Capital and other B/Ds have created indexes based on existing bonds in the market
- newspaper/publication called Bond Buyer. A well-known publication in the municipal bond market
- Tracking Performance
- An investor must track how his investments are performing relative to a benchmark or index (e.g., if his investment is up 5%, but the S&P 500 is up 10%…)